Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2.042166 2.350981 2.690551 3.091640 3.552512 4.065595 4.680329
2025-05-25 1.549733 1.937810 2.400447 2.992665 3.730966 4.621613 5.778738
2025-06-01 1.266203 1.700619 2.255967 3.018099 4.037653 5.355990 7.193122
2025-06-08 1.035115 1.481235 2.087969 2.973635 4.234904 5.969277 8.541194
2025-06-15 0.927782 1.405411 2.092120 3.151670 4.747714 7.067050 10.703954
2025-06-22 0.817052 1.303324 2.038621 3.231722 5.122929 8.012449 12.779179
2025-06-29 0.707174 1.182803 1.936039 3.216010 5.342014 8.743020 14.620718
2025-07-06 0.592418 1.035292 1.767306 3.065538 5.317201 9.075668 15.856983
2025-07-13 0.546337 0.994630 1.765747 3.188961 5.759018 10.222427 18.605779
2025-07-20 0.511725 0.968110 1.783103 3.344706 6.273580 11.553068 21.850637
2025-07-27 0.472306 0.926572 1.766993 3.435347 6.678508 12.733778 24.973416
2025-08-03 0.433793 0.880872 1.736248 3.492354 7.024171 13.842297 28.098869
2025-08-10 0.380831 0.800908 1.632526 3.399220 7.077271 14.422773 30.320344
2025-08-17 0.327888 0.713297 1.501841 3.233243 6.960121 14.650987 31.859002
2025-08-24 0.297304 0.668257 1.451763 3.227851 7.176163 15.585910 35.017010
2025-08-31 0.265362 0.615594 1.378418 3.161723 7.251447 16.232675 37.638644
2025-09-07 0.256220 0.612798 1.412846 3.339687 7.893536 18.193595 43.490662
2025-09-14 0.240383 0.592149 1.404398 3.417815 8.316845 19.718719 48.547128
2025-09-21 0.219636 0.556749 1.357136 3.397350 8.503658 20.721517 52.495209
2025-09-28 0.192790 0.502466 1.257848 3.236275 8.325463 20.833979 54.265129
2025-10-05 0.185161 0.495786 1.273632 3.365298 8.890898 22.831224 61.092174
2025-10-12 0.179710 0.494000 1.301382 3.528882 9.567727 25.194826 69.208855
2025-10-19 0.171158 0.482692 1.303158 3.624055 10.076943 27.193909 76.634596